Raila Leads At 49%, Ruto At 41% As TIFA Releases Final Poll 5 Days To Elections

Raila Odinga continues to lead William Ruto in the latest presidential poll conducted by the TIFA research agency, which is affiliated with the Azimio La Umoja party.

On Wednesday, August 3, the most recent and final survey on the impending elections was revealed. Odinga received 49% of the vote, defeating Ruto by 8%.

George Wajackoya of the Roots Party, who is running for president, came in third with 2 percent, while David Mwaure of the Agano Party received 0.2 percent.

Odinga would receive 53% of the vote, with Ruto coming in second with 45%, according to the firm’s first analysis of the results without taking into account the undecided voters. With or without taking into account the votes of unsure voters, Wajackoya and Mwaure both maintain their percentages.

Azimio La Umoja One Kenya coalition party continues to lead Kenya Kwanza with a popularity rating of 46% compared to 36% for political coalitions.

The study reveals that the majority of Kenyans identify with the United Democratic Alliance (UDA), led by William Ruto, at 38 percent, followed by the Odinga-led Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), at 32 percent, and Jubilee, at 5 percent, in terms of political party alignment.

The Roots Party, KANU, ANC, DAP-Kenya, and Ford-Kenya all came in at 1 percent, while Wiper Party came in at 4 percent.

“Still, a significant proportion chose not to self-identify with any party (15%), which seems to be a rather higher figure so close to the election, at least when compared with similar previous survey data,” noted the TIFA.

Between July 31 and August 1, 2,268 respondents were phone interviewed for the study.

Today is anticipated to be the final day for the legally required publishing of electoral opinion surveys with only five days till the election on August 9.
“A person shall not publish the results of any electoral opinion poll on the day of the election or during the period of five days immediately preceding the date of an election,” states Section 7(1) of the Publication of Electoral Opinion Polls Act.

Any person who violates the law faces a fine of up to one million shillings, up to one year in prison, or both.

Six days before Kenyans go to the elections, on Tuesday, August 2, three polling organizations have Raila Odinga ahead of William Ruto in the race for president of Kenya.

IPSOS and Infotrak both had Odinga ahead of Ruto by six percentage points, with 49 percent to Ruto’s 42 percent.

However, according to TIFA, in the counties of Nairobi and Kajiado, Odinga had surpassed Ruto.

Undecided voters were estimated by the pollsters to be between 4 and 6 percent.

What do you think?

Written by Esther Oyugi

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