According to an Ipsos survey, 12 counties will decide whether William Ruto of Kenya Kwanza or Raila Odinga of Azimio la Umoja will win the election on August 9.
No presidential contender in the 12 counties has a popularity rating above 55%, according to polling data released on August 2.
According to the researcher, the 12 counties will serve as a battlefield for Raila and Ruto, and the general election on August 9 will be decided by whoever performs well over the course of the following week and achieves a popularity rating of at least 55%.
Lamu, Nyamira, Wajir, Mombasa, Kitui, Samburu, Nakuru, Narok, Kiambu, Bungoma, Tana River, and Marsabit are among the 12 counties.
But according to the study, William Ruto is currently in the lead in 17 counties, where he has a popularity rating of at least 55 percent, while Raila Odinga is leading in 18.
“If we paint the countries in different strengths, we see that Raila Odinga has 18 counties with a voter preference of above 55%. William Ruto has 17 counties where voter preference is 55% for him,” said IPSOS director Sam Muthoka.
According to the poll, William Ruto is the most well-liked contender in the Mount Kenya area with a 66 percent preference. Ruto enjoys a 67 percent popularity rating in the Central Rift region.
Raila Odinga, in contrast, was shown to be in the lead in the Coast, with 56 percent, followed by Lower Eastern at 67 percent, Nyanza North at 89 percent, and Southern Nyanza at 64 percent.
Additionally, according to the poll results made public on Monday, 47 percent of Kenyans plan to vote for Raila Odinga, 41 percent will choose William Ruto, 2.9 percent will choose George Wajackoyah, 0.2 percent will choose David Mwaure Waihiga, and 3.8 percent will remain undecided.
Additionally, according to 54% of survey respondents, Raila Odinga will triumph in the general election on August 9.
“43% feel that William Ruto will win, 1.6% feel Wajackoyah will win and 0.1% feel that David Mwaure Waihiga will win the elections,” said Ipsos.
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